The Chinese yuan is likely to return to the “reasonable range” soon
The yuan is likely to return to the “reasonable range” between six and seven against the US dollar — as soon as next year, said Han Baojiang, director of the Department of Economics at the Party School of the CPC Central Committee.
That’s according to CNBC’s translation of his Mandarin-language notes at a virtual event held by the All-China Journalists Association.
He said that in his view, the depreciation of the yuan is related, to some extent, to China’s economic difficulties at the present time.
The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China next month It is set to provide a clearer description of the policy, which helps to achieve expectations, he said.
Han said in response to a separate question that the Chinese president Xi Jinping The message of more openness will be prevalent in the congressional report, and that after the conference, China is expected to open up more than ever.
– Evelyn Cheng
The Indian rupee hit a record high of 81.94 against the US dollar
The Indian rupee weakened to a record low against the US dollar, reaching 81.940 against the dollar. It was last traded at 81.905 against the dollar.
The booming US dollar has boosted nearly 10% against the Indian rupee so far this year.
The 10-year US Treasury yield exceeded 4% for the first time since 2010
CNBC Pro: Credit Suisse says it’s time to buy two green hydrogen stocks — and gives one more than 200% upside
Credit Suisse says it’s time to enter the green hydrogen sector, with a number of catalysts set to drive the clean power plant.
“Green hydrogen is a growth market – we increase the market estimate for 2030 by [over] 4x, the bank said, predicting that green hydrogen production will expand nearly 40 times by 2030.
You name two stocks to play the boom – giving a more than 200% upside.
– Weezin Tan
Chinese yuan at weakest level since 2008, dollar index strengthens
The offshore and inbound Chinese yuan has breached 7.2 against the dollar, hovering at its weakest level since early 2008.
The US dollar index also strengthened 0.33% to trade at 114.47.
Japan Consumer Inflation May Fall in 2023: Bank of Japan Meeting Minutes
Consumer inflation excluding fresh food is likely to rise this year, but the rate of increase will then slow on energy prices, minutes from the Bank of Japan in July meeting said.
A few members also said that inflation, excluding fresh food and energy, was unlikely to reach 2% during the forecast period. The CPI reading was 1.6% in August.
“These members expressed the view that unless commodity prices continue to rise, the rate of CPI inflation is expected to decline from fiscal year 2023 onwards,” the minutes said.
On the yen, a member of the Bank of Japan board said that downward pressure on the currency could be eased if the slowdown in the global economy lowers inflation and interest rates worldwide.
Another member said that the yen could rise even if the global economy experiences shocks.
– Abigail Ng
CNBC Pro: Asset manager reveals stock’s next move — and shares how it trades in the market
Neil Fitch, chief investment officer at Edinburgh-based SVM Asset Management, says he expects the overall landscape to remain “extremely challenging” for the rest of the year.
Talking to CNBC Pro . Talks Last week, Fitch named the main drivers that could help the stock market turn “more positive” and shared his view on growth versus value.
– Xavier Ong
Questions about earnings, a possible recession means more selling in the future
The Dow and S&P 500 have fallen for six days in a row, with many of those who saw a broad sell-off seen typical of the so-called “crash” days.
This can sometimes be a conflicting buy signal on Wall Street, but many investment professionals are skeptical that the selling is over. One reason is that earnings forecasts for next year still show solid growth, which is unlikely in the event of a recession.
said Andrew Smith, chief investment strategist at Delos Capital Advisors in Dallas. “But I find it hard to reconcile in my mind that the earnings story is going to be as good as we expect.”
In addition, dramatic moves in the bond and currency markets mean that something has “broken” and it may be smart to wait for that information to wear off, Smith said.
On the positive side, Smith cited a strong labor market and signs of continued travel spending as a sign that the US economy may be able to avoid a major recession.
– Jesse Pound
US 10-year bond yields closed at the key 4% level
The The 10-year Treasury yield is approaching 4%, A level untouched since 2010.
The United States 10 years It is the standard yield that determines the course of rates for mortgages and other consumer and business loans. Its price rose this week, as UK bond yields race upwards and expectations of a strong Federal Reserve.
The yield was 3.96% in afternoon trading. 10-year bond yields reversed earlier declines and gained about basis points. (Base point is 0.01 percentage point)
“It was definitely impressive, and I think no one yet is willing to step in and grab the falling knife,” said BMO’s Ben Jeffrey. He added that the lack of liquidity also led to higher yields, which led to the opposite price move.
Jeffrey said yields are also rising ahead of the 5-year bond auction at 1pm.
He said 10 years tested the 4% level in 2010. “The last time we were sustainably above 4% was 2008. There’s another technical level at 4.10% and then there isn’t a lot of observation until 4.25%,” he said.
– Patty Doom