Houston continues to put together great teams, combining scoring depth with one of the best defenses in the country. With the Ducks still searching for their identity, our betting picks are backing the Cougars to win and to do so with relative ease.
The #3 ranked Houston Cougars (4-0) head to Matthew Knight Arena Sunday night to take on the Oregon Ducks (2-1) in a thrilling non-conference game.
Houston dominated its first four opponents by an average margin of 36.5 points per game.
And while the Ducks would be the Cougars’ strongest test of the season yet, things aren’t going smoothly for Eugene after a 69-56 loss to UC Irvine on Nov. 11.
Find out if cougars can keep rolling in our car College basketball picks and predictions For Houston vs. Oregon below.
Best odds houston vs oregon
Houston vs Oregon picks and predictions
Houston was a coverage machine to start the season, going 4-0 against the spread in four wins.
Kelvin Sampson’s squad will be looking to capitalize on high expectations as a top 4 team ahead of a season that should be among the toughest in the country. What does this team do to make it so successful?
Houston will have one of the best defenses in the country again in 2022 after limiting opponents to just 58.2 points per game a year ago, which brings them to second in the country.
Marcus Sasser is back as the team’s leading scorer, averaging 17.7 ppg and looking healthy after a season-ending injury. Tramon Mark is also returning to the fold after a season-ending injury a year ago and is another backcourt player with a double-digit average to pair with Sasser and Jamal Sheed.
Reggie Chaney and J’Wan Roberts are high effort attacking glass shatterers. Superstar Yaras Walker and Top 50 freshman Terrance Arceneaux provide a fresh influx of talent.
As for the Ducks, they’re still aggressively finding their footing while shooting 44.6% from the field. They struggled especially with long runs, converting just 30.1% of their 3-point attempts – 264 nationally.
Dana Altman’s line-up of transfer market mercenaries was dealt a blow when he lost starting point guard Jermaine Quesnard to injury at the start of the year. Veteran Will Richardson leads a very thin backcourt at the moment and is still looking for impact contributors to step up, while former Syracuse transfer Quincy Guerrier is a frontcourt favorite.
Oregon State is still looking for answers to start the year, as evidenced by a 13-point loss to UC Irvine. Houston, on the other hand, is a complete Death Star that annihilates opponents.
This is a battle tested Houston team from years past with a lot of experience and I don’t expect them to be overwhelmed by this road environment. Put the points.
Your best bet: Houston -6.5 (-110 on BetVictor)
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Spread analysis of Houston vs. Oregon
This line opened in Houston at -6.5 but seems to be getting longer, with -7.5 starting to appear in some locations. If you like cougars, you’d better get your bets off quickly. If not, I would still recommend playing Houston to -8.
cougars KinbaumNo. 3 in the country, No. 9 in offense and No. 2 in defense. They have plenty of experienced scoring options in the backcourt led by one of the best guards in the country in Sasser.
The defense looks to be elite again, ranking third nationally in scoring defense by allowing only 58.5 ppg. If there’s room for improvement, it’s in shooting—especially from outside the arc (33.8%, rank 184) and in the charity bar (77.7%, rank 324).
There’s not much positive to point out about the offensive ducks, which is an issue with this matchup. Oregon ranks 180th in field goal percentage (44.6%), 164th in 3-point percentage (30.1%), and 353rd in free throw percentage (56.5%).
The Ducks have been at just 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team that has a winning record and will continue to struggle against top contenders tonight.
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Houston vs. Oregon Over/Under Analysis
The total is set between 132.5 and 133.5 depending on the book, so be sure to shop around. Both teams have been very profitable for the Under this season, with Houston going under the total in three of their four games while the Ducks are a perfect 3-0.
Oregon scores 34th on KenPom’s offensive efficiency metric, but the raw results were far from impressive. This team struggles to hit the ball from all three levels and the depth of the backcourt is weak due to Cuisnard’s injury. Given Houston’s relentless ball pressure, Oregon’s backcourt depth is a concern in this spot.
Neither team will be looking to push the pace, as the Ducks rank at 166 on the KenPom pace meter, while the Cougars are all the way at 348. Houston controls the glass on both ends of the field, maintaining possession of the ball and limiting scoring chances for his opponents.
Under is 36-17-1 in the Cougars’ last 54 games against a team with a winning percentage above . 600, as will be the case in this game. Houston’s offensive profile is often exaggerated due to the massive amount of points the Cougars score against fatigued opponents, but this is definitely a first defense team at heart.
Houston vs Oregon betting direction to find out
Houston has gone 36-15 from the Australian series in their last 51 games against a team with a winning percentage above . 600. Find more College basketball betting trends For Houston vs. Oregon.
Houston vs Oregon game information
|Site:||Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, Oregon|
|Date:||Sunday, November 20, 2022|
|warning:||9:30 p.m. ET|